Well, after removing/replacing the barrel, bucking, hopup assembly, nozzle, tappet plate, with different ones one piece at a time, I discovered when the problem seemed to come and go instead of just assuming it's random.
The problem only happens with mags that are either full or near full. Since I only use midcaps, the force with which the spring pushes the bb's is stronger when the mag is more full. Based on this, and noticing that my gun is unable to push a bb through a prometheus hard bucking and into the barrel, I believe that the tappet plate spring is worn out.
And... one thing the sector clip does, is keep that spring stretched out while the gun is in rest mode. I doubt if that made much of a difference beyond the part where that spring has had a long tough life. It's a little past 200k rounds or so.